Steal Risk Calculator
Compare your Speed against a target before you grab the egg
Include training + pet bonuses you can see on screen
Speed margin
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Your speed vs theirs
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Risk band
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Enter both Speed stats to get a verdict.
Scope: the developer has not published the steal/escape formula, so this tool compares Speed only — the one stat both players can see. Corners, traps, distance to the safe zone, and carrying an egg all change the real outcome. Treat the band as a first filter, not a promise.
How to read the risk bands
Margin is your Speed minus theirs; the ratio is yours divided by theirs. In play, chases are decided by relative speed, not raw points — +20 Speed means something very different at 100 vs 100 than at 400 vs 380. That's why the bands use the ratio:
- ≥1.25 — Comfortable. You close gaps and open them. Steal freely.
- 1.05–1.25 — Slight edge. Winnable, but a long carry home gives them time to gang up. Prefer short routes.
- 0.95–1.05 — Coin flip. Only fight for eggs that justify a 50% death.
- 0.80–0.95 — Risky. You need a head start, corners, or teammates screening.
- <0.80 — Very risky. You will be run down. Grab-and-dash only if the payout is huge.
To move yourself up a band, Speed training on the treadmill is the reliable route — the treadmill guide covers the efficient routine, and the escape guide covers the cornering and routing tricks that let a slower player survive a faster one.
Read before you calculate
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